Live Data Dashboard
A single view of the numbers that drive U.S. politics: economic indicators direct from government statistical agencies, presidential approval polling, and real-money prediction markets for upcoming elections. Everything here is sourced from public data and updated continuously.
Presidential Approval
Donald J. TrumpNational Sentiment
Polling averagesPolling averages compiled from publicly reported surveys (Gallup, Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, Economist/YouGov, NBC, Rasmussen, etc.) as aggregated by RealClearPolitics. Updated weekly via the admin console.
Economic Indicators
Live · Government dataElection & Politics Markets
Live · PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
- Kamala Harris8%
- Pete Buttigieg6%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
- Marco Rubio9%
- Gavin Newsom7%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
- Ron DeSantis2%
- Donald Trump2%
Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
- Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?97%
- Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1%
- Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1%
- Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?1%
- Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?0%
Brazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro42%
- Renan Santos1%
- Augusto Cury1%
- Jair Bolsonaro0%
Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen35%
- Édouard Philippe28%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%
- David Lisnard4%
- François Hollande3%
Netanyahu out by...?
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?50%
Fed Decision in September?
- the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?52%
- there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?48%
- the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?1%
- the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?1%
- the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?0%
Prices reflect real-money trading on Polymarket and shift continuously. Not a forecast or endorsement; shown for informational reference alongside the news.
Methodology
- Economic indicators — Real GDP growth (annualized), unemployment rate, CPI year-over-year, the effective federal funds rate, and the 10-year Treasury yield are pulled from the Federal Reserve’s FRED database, which itself sources from BEA, BLS, and the Federal Reserve. National debt is pulled from the U.S. Treasury Fiscal Data API. Refreshed every 6 hours.
- Presidential, Congressional, and Supreme Court approval; country direction — Polling averages compiled from publicly reported surveys (Gallup, Reuters/Ipsos, Quinnipiac, Economist/YouGov, NBC, Rasmussen, etc.) as aggregated by RealClearPolitics. Linked back to the source. Updated weekly.
- Prediction markets — Live probabilities from Polymarket, where participants trade contracts on political outcomes with real money. Probabilities reflect market consensus, not editorial endorsement. Refreshed every 15 minutes.